NEWSLETTER – 2025 Q3

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Third Quarter 2025

Advisor Desk

The third quarter reminded us that markets can deliver progress and uncertainty in equal measure. U.S. equities reached fresh highs, supported by steady earnings and resilient consumer demand, while the Fed’s first rate cut of this cycle in September gave investors reason to cheer. That September decision signaled relief for borrowers and optimism for growth, yet it also stirred debate: Are we easing into sustainable growth, or cutting into a slowdown? As part of the Scholar Wealth Network, we don’t just observe these debates from the sidelines. We use them as cues to examine our own portfolios, our assumptions, and our risk posture.

Commodities added texture to the story. Gold’s record-breaking run into the fall underscored lingering concerns about currency debasement and global instability—topics we’ll dive deeper into during our November webinar (details below). Oil’s surge, meanwhile, illustrated how quickly geopolitics can shift from background noise to a direct portfolio driver. Together, “real assets” continue to highlight their unique role in tempering the abstract optimism of equity valuations.

The equity market’s resilience, though, has a narrow base. A handful of mega-cap names continue to dominate index performance, with valuations stretching to levels that invite comparison to past episodes of exuberance. On one hand, growth reflects the power of American innovation and the global appetite to invest in it. On the other, it concentrates risk for investors whose returns depend heavily on a few giants. For thoughtful investors, it’s less about fearing the bubble and more about designing systems that don’t require predicting its pop. 

The lesson isn’t to shy away from growth, but to make sure no single trend dictates the outcome of our financial future.

That’s where our community approach matters.
Together, we’re practicing strategies that go beyond the usual “stay diversified”:

Balance sources of return. Seeking balance by blending growth engines like innovation and productivity with stabilizers like fixed income and real assets.

Focus on cash flow. Just like balancing sources of return, sources of cash should also vary to make your personal goals more resilient.

Stress test scenarios. Running “what if” scenarios to uncover hidden exposures before they surprise us. Which of your sources of returns or cash flows are correlated?

Act with intention. Setting triggers for rebalancing or trimming ensures we make decisions on our terms, not the market’s. The same holds true for purchasing at regular intervals instead of chasing the “best” entry opportunity, a point we discussed further in this podcast episode.

This quarter made one thing clear: investors can thrive by embracing both resilience and discipline. Within the Scholar Wealth Network, we are not waiting for perfect clarity. We are building adaptable portfolios, celebrating progress, and preparing for the risks that come with it. That’s the strength of a community of educated investors: turning uncertainty into opportunity, and opportunity into long-term control over our financial journey.

– Stephan


Stephan Shipe, Ph.D., CFA, CFP®
is the Founder and CEO of Scholar Financial Advising.

Scholar Advising Announcements


Upcoming Webinar: Wednesday, November 13 | 3:00–4:00 PM ET

How should long-term investors think about gold today?

In this live webinar, Stephan Shipe will explore how gold and commodities behave in inflationary environments—and how current headlines about tariffs, dollar dominance, and geopolitical shifts are reshaping investor thinking.


We’ll cover:

  • How gold has responded to past inflation cycles and global uncertainty
  • The relative strength of the U.S. dollar—and what a shift in reserve currency status could mean
  • How to strategically position gold and commodities within a long-term portfolio

This session is ideal for those managing concentrated cash positions, reevaluating inflation hedges, or curious about the global role of the dollar.

Register Here

The 2026 Personal Wealth Conference

Thank you for the enthusiastic response to our conference announcements! We’re thrilled to share that registration is filling, but space is limited.
Don’t miss your chance to join us April 15–17, 2026, at the beautiful Omni Grove Park Inn in Asheville. Enjoy two days of high-impact personal finance sessions, meaningful conversations, and optional group outings in a stunning mountain setting.

Come be part of this unique experience. Register now to secure your place.

Join Us in Asheville: 2026 Conference

Check Out Our Weekly Podcast

 

The Scholar Wealth Podcast delivers clear, expert insights into the financial decisions that shape the lives of high-net-worth individuals and families. Every Monday morning, our team of PhD financial advisors brings clarity to complex wealth challenges. 

Make sure you’re subscribed — because in the coming weeks, you’ll hear from real estate attorneys, yacht experts, fine whisky collection curators, tax specialists, and more. And of course, you can count on us to keep answering the sophisticated wealth questions that matter most to families like yours.

Things We Are Watching

From Deon Strickland, Ph.D. 
  • On September 17, the Federal Reserve, through a vote by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), cut its target federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00–4.25%, marking its first rate cut of the year. The FOMC’s dot plot indicated a median expectation of two additional 25-basis-point cuts in 2025 and further reductions into 2026, bringing the projected funds rate down to roughly 3.25–3.50% by the end of that year.
     
  • In the Treasury market, the yield on the 10-year U.S. note rose from about 4.06% on September 17 to around 4.15% by September 22, underscoring that long-term Treasury yields are set by market forces rather than by Federal Reserve decisions. We are watching whether the expected cuts to the federal funds rate eventually filter into the 10-year Treasury yield and, in turn, into lower mortgage rates.
     
  • The S&P 500 continues its climb, reaching an all-time high of 6,693.75 on September 23, 2025. A notable difference from 2024 is the source of these gains. In 2024, nearly half of the S&P 500’s total return was driven by the “Magnificent 7” (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla). In 2025, about one-third of the index’s advance has come from these companies, with stronger contributions from industrials and other sectors. We are monitoring whether this shift signals a move away from Big Tech toward value-oriented sectors and greater diversification within the index.
     
  • Gold remains a significant asset class in 2025. Its price has risen from $2,674.10 per troy ounce on December 31, 2024, to $3,747.90, representing a nearly 40% increase this year. The drivers of this surge remain uncertain but may include inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, rising U.S. deficits, or geopolitical instability. We are watching closely how gold responds to today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, as the data will influence market expectations for future Federal Reserve policy.



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Deon Strickland, Ph.D.
is an Advisor at Scholar Financial Advising.

What We Are Reading






Ask An Associate Advisor

In this month’s edition, Derek Cheshire, CFP®, EA discusses the topic:
Planning for a Liquidity Event
 

A liquidity event, such as selling a business, cashing out equity, or receiving a large inheritance, can be life-changing. While these moments often bring complexity, with the right planning, you can simplify the process and confidently manage your newfound wealth.

Start Early
Most missteps occur because planning begins after the money is received. By starting early, you widen your options to manage taxes, control risk, clarify goals, and prepare your family. Before the funds arrive, engage your team: a financial planner, estate attorney, and tax professional.

Define Your Goals
The first step is identifying what you want your wealth to accomplish. Do you want to fund your children’s or grandchildren’s education, support charitable causes, build generational wealth or spend it all? Establishing your goals provides the foundation for every decision that follows.

Plan for Taxes
Taxes are often one of the biggest considerations. If you are selling a business, review options with your tax professional such as asset versus stock sales, installments, earn-outs, or equity rollovers. Your financial planner can model these scenarios and help determine which structure best aligns with your financial plan and long-term objectives.

Consider Charitable Giving
If philanthropy is important to you, a donor-advised fund or charitable trust may be a valuable tool. These strategies can reduce your tax burden in the year of your liquidity event while also allowing you to fulfill your charitable goals. Work with your financial planner, CPA, and estate attorney to ensure your giving plan integrates seamlessly with your overall estate strategy.

Protect Your Assets
Increased wealth often brings increased liability risk. Review your umbrella insurance coverage to make sure you are adequately protected against lawsuits and creditors. In some cases, family LLCs or irrevocable trusts can provide additional protection and serve as effective estate planning tools.

Align Your Investment Strategy
A major liquidity event also calls for a portfolio review. Align your assets with your risk tolerance and long-term goals for the funds.

Some individuals emphasize preservation, ensuring their wealth lasts a lifetime. Others, with higher risk tolerance, see this as an opportunity to build generational wealth through growth-focused investing. Whatever your approach, a diversified portfolio can balance risk, growth, liquidity, and cash flow needs.

Prepare the Next Generation
If you plan to leave a large inheritance, preparing your heirs is just as important as preparing your portfolio. Share your values and intentions with beneficiaries, and consider making gifts during your lifetime. These gifts can be especially impactful while your children are still building their own wealth, and they help develop financial literacy and responsibility ahead of a larger inheritance.

Final Thought
A liquidity event has the potential to transform your financial life. With proactive planning, clear goals, and the right team of advisors, you can turn this milestone into an opportunity to build lasting security and a meaningful legacy.

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Derek Cheshire, CFP®, EA
is an Associate Financial Advisor at Scholar Financial Advising.

Reminders

Need more help?
Contact us to inquire about professional recommendations, including CPAs.

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Anytime you have a build-up of cash, change your job, make or consider a major purchase, relocate, or are concerned about the allocation of your portfolio.
Reach out anytime with questions or to schedule a meeting.
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