Q2 Newsletter: Markets, Legislation, and Lessons in AgilityNews and Updates From Scholar Financial Advising
Second Quarter 2025
Advisor Desk
The second quarter of 2025 reminded us that markets can sprint even while dodging hurdles. Washington’s much-debated “Big Beautiful Bill,” which would extend the 2017 tax cuts, cleared the House in May and now faces a tight July 4th Senate deadline, keeping fiscal fireworks front-of-mind for investors. Overseas, Israeli strikes on Iran escalated the Middle East conflict, but once U.S. support materialized, the regional risk ultimately reduced in the near term. Meanwhile, a tariff roller-coaster in April saw U.S./China levies leap over 100% before both sides agreed to a short-term pullback, underscoring how quickly trade policy can whipsaw sentiment.
That policy turbulence slammed equities early in the quarter: the S&P 500 dove 22% from its February highs in early April. Yet resilience won out. By late June the index had rallied back from its April lows to create new all-time highs. The speed of that snap-back, coupled with solid earnings and cooling jobless claims, reminds us why staying invested and broadly diversified often beats trying to time the headlines. These seesaw markets are not showing signs of stabilizing. Many of the catalysts for volatility this quarter were simply pushed back to Q3, including tariff decisions and legislative action.
The rally in gold continued through the quarter, breaking $3,300 an ounce, up over 25% for the year, as investors looked for shelter from geopolitical and policy squalls. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve kept rates steady, stressing that any rate easing will hinge on inflation’s continued glide toward 2%, a stance Chair Powell framed as “patient but prepared.” That pairing of defensive buying and policy caution sums up the quarter: optimism is rising, yet no one is ready to declare victory over inflation or uncertainty.
On the home front, the highlight this quarter was our in-person Personal Finance Conference. Sharing ideas face-to-face with such an interesting group was energizing. Watching you swap stories about careers, hobbies, charities, and travel plans reinforced why community matters as much as portfolios. Thank you for making the conference so memorable. We’re already looking ahead to next year’s conference in Asheville, NC.
As always, we appreciate the trust you place in Scholar Financial Advising. If the bill in Congress, tariffs, or geopolitical flare-ups raise questions about your own plan, reach out anytime. Until next quarter, stay informed, stay diversified, and let your financial plan, not the headlines, guide your summer.
– Stephan
Stephan Shipe, Ph.D., CFA, CFP®
is the Founder and CEO of Scholar Financial Advising.
Scholar Advising Announcements
Team Updates
Noah Lewis
Financial Advising Analyst
Noah graduated Summa Cum Laude from UNC Charlotte with a bachelor’s degree in Finance and we are pleased to congratulate him on recently passing the Series 65 licensing exam. He brings hands-on experience in investment planning, retirement strategies, and client relationship management, along with a strong analytical foundation and a passion for helping individuals navigate their financial futures. Noah is especially aligned with the firm’s commitment to conflict-free, transparent advising and takes pride in turning complex financial topics into clear, actionable strategies tailored to each client’s goals.
Erin Eaton
Marketing Associate
As Marketing Associate at Scholar Financial Advising, Erin helps shape brand strategy and digital communications to reflect the firm’s values and commitment to personalized service. With a background in graphic design and a keen eye for detail, she brings creativity and clarity to each campaign, fostering meaningful client connections and strengthening the firm’s presence across all platforms. Outside of work, she enjoys hiking, trying new restaurants, and exploring North Carolina’s beautiful landscapes.
Reflections on This Year’s SFA Conference
And a Look to 2026
We had a great time in Charleston a few weeks ago. Attendance was strong and the sessions were fantastic, covering topics such as inflation, market concentration, cryptocurrency, estate planning, and more. We also enjoyed the opportunity to connect with many of you and to help foster connections among clients.
The feedback we have received so far has been terrific. One of our clients in attendance shared with us, “This conference is always professionally presented. Lots of good takeaways for us. Can’t wait for next year!”
We are already incorporating your comments into the planning for next year’s conference. Sign up at the site below to receive updates as they’re released. We look forward to seeing you there!
This event was provided free of charge and only available to our current clients.
Earning trust at the highest level is no small achievement — and that is exactly what Stephan has done! We are proud to share that our founder, Stephan Shipe, PhD, CFA, CFP®, has received the 2025 Wealthtender Voice of the Client Highly Rated Advisor Award. The Wealthtender Voice of the Client Awards were established as the industry’s first program to recognize financial advisors who consistently receive exceptional client reviews published online.
At Scholar Financial Advising, client commitment is our first core value; we put clients at the center of everything we do. With honesty, transparency, and care, our dedicated team delivers professional guidance. We act in our clients’ best interests, build authentic relationships, and grow responsibly by staying true to our values. We are honored to see Stephan’s dedication to this commitment recognized.
Disclosures: Wealthtender awarded Stephan Shipe, PhD, CFA, CFP® with its 2025 Voice of the Client Highly Rated Advisor Award on 06/01/2025. Rating criteria based on eligible client reviews published on Wealthtender between 1/1/24 and 06/01/2025. Although Scholar Financial Advising compensates Wealthtender for marketing services (including eligibility to be considered for this award), Wealthtender’s award criteria is objective and not influenced by compensation. This award is not a guarantee of future performance or success and client reviews may not be representative of the experience of all past or future clients. View additional award details and FAQs here.
Check Out Our Weekly Podcast
The Scholar Advising Podcast delivers clear, expert insights into the financial decisions that shape the lives of high-net-worth individuals and families. Every Monday morning, our team of PhD financial advisors tackles listener questions with the same strategic clarity and depth we bring to our client relationships.
This isn’t generic guidance or mass-market advice. It’s financial clarity for people with more at stake: physicians navigating equity compensation, entrepreneurs facing exit planning, and families stewarding multigenerational wealth. In each episode, you’ll find trusted guidance grounded in experience and fiduciary care.
Things We Are Watching
From Derek Cheshire, CFP®, EA
The Fed has continued to hold rates steady and kept the door open for two additional rate cuts later in the year as uncertainty around the economic outlook has diminished, although it remains at elevated levels. We will keep a close eye on any Fed pronouncements and look to the outcome of their next meeting at the end of July.
The S&P 500 has rebounded since reaching its 2025 low point on April 8th, up approximately 20% since that point, once again flirting with all-time highs. We are watching how new global developments, such as conflict with Iran, will impact the recent rebound.
Consumer staples continue to outperform consumer discretionary stocks in 2025, although consumer discretionary has been a top performer over the last three months, up 8%. Will consumer confidence continue to rise, and will the shift back to growth continue?
The rotation away from US stocks and bonds to global markets continued in Q2 as flows to international markets, particularly European markets, continued to outpace flows to US markets. After years of underperformance in European and other global markets, will this continue to drive long term performance and warrant increasing allocations to international stocks?
Congress continues to negotiate the provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill. The bill could include significant changes such as making the current tax rates permanent, increasing the standard deduction, and extending and increasing the estate exemption. We will closely monitor this bill if and when it is ratified to determine its potential impact.
Derek Cheshire, CFP®, EA
is an Associate Financial Advisor at Scholar Financial Advising.
What We Are Reading
Ask An Advisor
In this month’s edition, Deon Strickland, Ph.D. discusses the topic: Making the Most of Market Volatility:
Tax Loss Harvesting Before and After Retirement
2025 is turning out to be quite the year for market volatility. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) fell from $561.30 on 02/24/2025 to $456.74 on April 8, 2025, only to recover to $547.72 by June 20, 2025. Down 19 percent and then up 20 percent for a broad-based index within four months is not your grandparent’s market (okay, okay, I am excluding 1929). Market fluctuations can be unsettling, but they also create opportunities. One such opportunity is tax loss harvesting.
Tax loss harvesting is a tax strategy where an investor pairs selling investments that have declined in value (capital losses) with selling investments that have increased in value (capital gains). The losses offset gains and, in some cases, can also reduce ordinary income. When carefully implemented, tax loss harvesting can add meaningful after-tax value to your portfolio before and after retirement.
Benefits Before and After Retirement
When clients’ marginal tax rates are high, tax loss harvesting can be particularly beneficial. Offsetting capital gains and/or reducing ordinary income helps minimize tax bills during high-income periods, freeing up more funds for savings or reinvestment.
If a client is in the accumulation phase and wants to maintain their equity exposure, the proceeds from the loss harvesting should be reinvested in a similar but not identical ETF. You should not simply reinvest in the same ETF to avoid triggering the “wash sale” rule. The “wash sale” rule disallows a loss if a substantially identical security is purchased within 30 days before or after the sale. For example, if a client holds a large-cap U.S. ETF with a loss, they can sell the ETF and reinvest the proceeds into a different large-cap ETF tracking a similar but not identical index, such as switching from the Schwab Large Cap Value ETF to the Vanguard Large Cap Value ETF.
Tax loss harvesting is of course not limited to ETFs. You could also sell individual names that have losses and gains and use the proceeds from the sale to invest in low-cost broad-based portfolios.
Post-retirement, tax loss harvesting can help retirees reduce exposure to Medicare IRMAA surcharges, taxation of Social Security benefits, and Roth conversions. If the retiree employs tax loss harvesting to reduce capital gains, then their MAGI is lower and consequently bracket creep is reduced. In some sense, tax loss harvesting delays when taxes are paid and that is itself a gain.
Final Thoughts
Tax loss harvesting is more than a year-end cleanup tactic. It is a proactive, year-round planning opportunity. Whether you are building wealth or drawing it down in retirement, the right tax strategy can enhance after-tax returns.
Deon Strickland, Ph.D.
is an Advisor at Scholar Financial Advising.
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